Pakistan’s Nightmare: Islamabad is studying the laborious manner that its hostility towards India may backfire. A brand new report from Sydney has revealed a harsh fact that is maintaining Pakistani generals awake at night time: Pakistan’s survival relies upon totally on India’s mercy.
The Report That Shattered Pakistan’s Illusions
Australia’s Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP), one of many world’s most revered assume tanks, simply dropped a bombshell in its ‘Ecological Risk Report 2025’ that has despatched shockwaves by Islamabad. The discovering is stark and terrifying for Pakistan: India now possesses the technical functionality to change the circulate of the Indus Riverand Pakistan is powerless to cease it.
This is not simply one other educational research. This can be a dying sentence hanging over Pakistan’s head, and India holds the rope.
The disaster could not come at a worse time for Islamabad. Following the horrific Pahalgam terror assault that killed 26 harmless folks, India launched Operation Sindoor, devastating a number of terrorist camps inside Pakistan, and suspended the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty that had assured Pakistan’s water provide for over six many years.
80% Of Pakistan’s Agriculture Relies upon On India’s Goodwill
Here is the nightmare situation maintaining Islamabad in panic mode: 80% of Pakistan’s agricultural land relies upon totally on water from the Indus River system. Not 50%. Not 60%. Eighty p.c. And that water flows from India.
Pakistan’s densely populated plains, the place hundreds of thousands survive on farming, are utterly depending on rivers that India can now management with out violating any settlement, as a result of Pakistan’s terrorism pressured India to droop the treaty.
The IEP report makes Pakistan’s vulnerability crystal clear: the nation has storage capability for simply 30 days of water. Thirty days. That is it. Any disruption to the river circulate, and Pakistan faces fast, catastrophic water shortages that might set off famines, financial collapse, and mass migration.
India Would not Even Want To Block The Water Fully
Here is what makes this weapon so devastating: India does not must utterly cease the water circulate to convey Pakistan to its knees. The Australian report reveals that minor changes to dam operations throughout important durations, like summer time, may devastate Pakistan’s agricultural heartland.
Take into consideration that. India does not must declare conflict. Would not want to fireplace missiles. Would not must ship troops throughout the border. Simply flip a couple of valves on dam gates throughout peak agricultural season, and Pakistan’s economic system begins crumbling.
The report detailed how this case has already begun unfolding. After India suspended the Indus Waters Treaty, it launched water from the Chenab River with out consulting Pakistan. Initially, elements of the river ran utterly dry, however when India later opened the gates, a surge of silt-filled, turbulent water rushed downstream, wreaking havoc as Pakistan watched helplessly.
India’s Dams: The Final Strategic Leverage
The IEP report clarifies that India’s dams on western rivers aren’t huge storage amenities, they’re run-of-the-river initiatives that may’t completely block water circulate. However this is Pakistan’s nightmare: India controls when the gates open and shut. India decides the timing of water releases. India holds all of the playing cards.
Underneath the 1960 settlement, India had dedicated to sharing waters from the western rivers, Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab, with Pakistan whereas sustaining management over japanese rivers together with Beas, Ravi, and Sutlej. However with the treaty suspended, these commitments not bind India.
Pakistan Walked Into India’s Lure
Pakistan spent many years utilizing terrorism as a weapon towards India, believing Islamabad held the benefit by its nuclear arsenal and jihadi proxies. What Pakistani strategists fatally miscalculated was India’s long-term funding in water infrastructure.
India constructed dams. India developed hydroelectric initiatives. India created the technical functionality to manage river flows. And Pakistan, drunk on its terrorism technique, by no means realized it was handing India the final word non-military weapon.
Now, after Operation Sindoor and the Indus Waters Treaty suspension, Pakistan faces a brutal actuality: India can strangle Pakistan’s economic system with out firing a shot, and there is completely nothing Islamabad can do about it.
The Australian report is not simply an evaluation; it is Pakistan’s obituary, written in water that India controls. And the faucet is in New Delhi’s arms.