Barrick Mining inventory has greater than doubled in 6 months. Why Elliott’s activism might drive extra upside


Attendees converse with representatives on the Barrick sales space, on the Prospectors and Builders Affiliation of Canada (PDAC) annual mining convention in Toronto, Ontario, Canada March 3, 2025.

Carlos Osorio | Reuters

Firm: Barrick Mining (B)

Enterprise: Barrick Mining, previously Barrick Gold Company, is a gold and copper producer, which is engaged within the manufacturing and sale of gold and copper, in addition to associated actions, corresponding to exploration and mine improvement. It has possession pursuits in producing gold mines in Argentina, Canada, Cote d’Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Dominican Republic, Papua New Guinea, Tanzania and the US. Its copper mines are in Zambia, Chile and Saudi Arabia. Its operations embrace Nevada Gold Mines, Bulyanhulu, Hemlo, Jabal Sayid, Kibali, Loulo-Gounkoto, Lumwana, North Mara, Porgera, Pueblo Viejo, Tongon, Veladero and Zaldivar. Its Bulyanhulu operation is positioned in northwest Tanzania, over 55 kilometers south of Lake Victoria and 150 km southwest of the town of Mwanza. The Jabal Sayid copper operation is positioned 350 km northeast of Jeddah within the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The Lumwana copper mine is a traditional open pit operation.

Inventory Market Worth: $69.16 billion ($40.38 per share)

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Barrick Mining shares 12 months so far

Activist: Elliott Funding Administration

Possession: n/a

Common Price: n/a

Activist Commentary: Elliott is a multistrategy funding agency that manages about $76.1 billion in property (as of June 30, 2025) and is without doubt one of the oldest companies of its sort underneath steady administration. Identified for its intensive due diligence and assets, Elliott frequently follows firms for years earlier than investing. Elliott is probably the most energetic of activist traders, partaking with firms throughout industries and a number of geographies.

What’s taking place

On Nov. 18, Elliott introduced a place in Barrick Mining and expressed its curiosity in seeing a possible separation of North American property from its mines in riskier areas throughout Asia and Africa. Most just lately, on Dec. 1, Barrick introduced that the board has approved the corporate to discover a possible separation of the North American property.

Behind the scenes

Barrick Mining is a Toronto-based world mining firm centered predominantly on gold, working 14 gold mines, in addition to three extra cooper mines. The core of this enterprise is its North America Gold property, which consists of a number of the highest high quality deposits on the earth, particularly Nevada Gold Mines, a three way partnership with Newmont by which Barrick owns 61.5% and serves as its operator. The corporate additionally operates gold mines in Africa, the Center East, Latin America, and Asia. Its copper portfolio is centered round Africa and the Center East, together with Reko Diq, a brand new copper improvement undertaking in Pakistan.

With the current bull marketplace for gold, Barrick’s inventory has greater than doubled over the previous six months. Regardless of this, Barrick continues to commerce at 0.9 occasions its worth to web asset worth ratio, a major low cost to North American friends, who commerce effectively above 1x, with best-in-class friends like Agnico Eagle buying and selling at roughly 1.5x.

Traders purchase gold firms primarily for gold worth publicity, and from there favor the businesses with one of the best administration groups that function the businesses most effectively to greatest isolate the worth of the commodity. Barrick has not been a high operator amongst its friends and, because of this, they abruptly parted methods with their CEO in September and changed him with Mark Hill, the previous COO, as interim CEO.

An interim CEO creates two very helpful alternatives for an activist in an organization like Barrick. First and most significantly, they get to have a voice in who the brand new CEO will likely be no matter whether or not they settle with the corporate for a board seat or simply stay an outspoken shareholder. Whereas they might not all the time be within the room when the discussions are had or the choice is made, we all know of no CEO who would take a job at an organization with an activist like Elliott partaking until they knew that Elliott permitted of the hiring.

Second, when an organization has an interim CEO, it’s an advantageous time to discover strategic alternate options, and a breakup of this firm has all the time been the elephant within the room.

Barrick’s North American operations have been sullied by the corporate’s publicity to higher-risk areas and separating the 2 would go an extended option to shut the valuation hole between Barrick and Agnico Eagle.

The worth proposition for a breakup is obvious and even one thing administration has mentioned. In a presentation launched in Might, administration demonstrated that making use of a peer-like a number of to Barrick’s North American property might unlock as a lot as 49% of unrealized worth. Since then, the worth of gold has appreciated by over 70% however the firm’s inventory has appreciated by greater than 100%, a lot of that acquire has been realized however there may be nonetheless some worth to be realized from a breakup.

Elliott has a historical past of taking board seats at firms not for activist’s sake, however solely after they really feel that the director they’re placing on the board might genuinely add worth for shareholders. On this case, the breakup of the corporate is one thing that’s being severely thought of by the board, and Elliott, simply by its existence, is more likely to have at the very least detrimental approval energy over the brand new CEO.

Furthermore, Elliott doesn’t act impetuously in its activism. They’ve possible had a place in Barrick for a lot of months at this level and have already acquired a fantastic return from the corporate’s 100% appreciation previously six months. We’d not anticipate them to escalate their activism right here until both the board goes down a path they did not anticipate and do not agree with, or it’s on the firm’s invitation to hitch the board to help with the duties forward.

Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional analysis service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio supervisor of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist investments.