What’s behind the -billion hit to Saudi Arabia’s large wealth fund


Digital render of NEOM’s The Line venture in Saudi Arabia

The Line, NEOM

Saudi Arabia’s mammoth sovereign wealth fund noticed a serious decline in investments in its so-called “gigaprojects,” amounting to an $8 billion write-down on the finish of 2024 — regardless of property underneath administration reaching almost $1 trillion, in keeping with its annual report.

Gigaproject investments declined by 12.4% to 211 billion Saudi riyal ($56.2 billion). In the meantime, property overseen by the PIF climbed 19% from the tip of 2023 to round $913 billion, making it one of many largest and fastest-growing sovereign wealth funds on the planet. The gigaprojects, which embrace the futuristic $500 billion Neom improvement, constituted 6% of the PIF’s property in 2024, down from 8% the 12 months prior.

The writedown comes amid decrease international oil costs and a rising fiscal deficit for the Saudi kingdom, whose economic system relies upon closely on oil regardless of efforts to diversify it and substantial non-oil income development.

The PIF’s annualized returns since 2017 dropped to 7.2% from 8.7% the earlier 12 months. The fund — which has important holdings in a spread of blue-chip corporations like Uber and Tesla, and owns main sports activities franchises like LIV Golf and British soccer membership Newcastle United — was additionally seen broadening its funding base, elevating almost $10 billion in public debt and $7 billion privately.

Worldwide investments fell to 17% of the portfolio, down from 20% the 12 months prior because the fund honed its give attention to home investments.

A part of the explanation behind the PIF’s important leap in AUM is because of extra of Saudi state oil large Aramco being allotted to the fund. However analysts be aware that if crude costs proceed to fall, as some business forecasters anticipate would be the case, the share of income that the Saudi authorities and PIF will be capable to derive from these oil investments is more likely to lower in tow.

Decrease oil costs, and decreased Aramco dividends as a consequence of decrease oil demand projections, are anticipated to restrict PIF’s funding funds. Within the meantime, it’s anticipated to extend its investments in high-growth areas like synthetic intelligence, analysts say.

Funds overruns